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0
Nov
02

Burr Leads Marshall by 10

In our latest poll, we have Sen. Richard Burr leading NC Sec. of State Elaine Marshall 43.7% to 33.0%.

Burr is leading among Republicans 79-6 and among Unaffiliateds 47-24.  Marshall leads with Democrats but by a much smaller margin 57-17.

In fact, Burr’s hardcore support — those who say they are definitely voting for him (33.2%) — is slightly larger than Marshall’s overall support.

While yes, Burr is below 50%, he’s still in a good position.  His base is solidified, so he can spend the next year winning swing voters.  Meanwhile, Marshall still has to get through a potentially crowded primary (especially if Etheridge and/or Wicker get in the race), solidify her base and then start winning over unaffiliated voters that are already breaking for Burr.

Full results and crosstabs here.

0
Nov
02

Final 8!

We’re down to the final 8 of the Bad Bill of the Year tournament.

The matchups keep getting tougher as the bills keep getting worse.

Vote now!

0
Oct
28

If It Walks Like a Duck…

The Daily Tar Heel breaks a story today that UNC President Erskine Bowles leads the board of directors of a real estate development company that just won a no-bid contract from a UNC controlled group to redevelop property in downtown Chapel Hill.

UNC-system President Erskine Bowles leads the board of directors of the company that was chosen to develop University Square through a closed process.

But University representatives said his relationship with Cousins Properties did not have any effect on the decision to hire the company to develop the 12-acre space acquired last year by the UNC-Chapel Hill Foundation.

Even if there really is no conflict, isn’t the sheer appearance of one seem like something UNC would want to avoid?

0
Oct
26

Civitas Poll: Perdue Less Popular Than Easley

With the State Board of Elections set to convene history-making hearings into the campaign finances of former Governor Mike Easley, a new poll released shows current Governor Bev Perdue is thought of more unfavorably than Easley by the voters of North Carolina.

When asked if they had a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bev Perdue and Mike Easley, the live caller survey of 600 likely voters revealed that 47.5 percent of voters had an unfavorable opinion of former Governor Easley, but 49.8 percent of voters held a similar opinion of the current governor.  Perdue does have higher favorable opinions the poll revealed, with 37.2 percent of voters giving her a favorable opinion while only 29.7 percent did for Easley.

Yep.  More people have an unfavorable opinion of Perdue than they do of Easley.  Pretty surprising isn’t it?

Full press release here.

0
Oct
22

Only 36% of Americans Think Global Warming is Human Caused

New poll results from Pew show that a shrinking number of Americans think human activity is the cause of global warming.  Only 36% think it is so, down 11 percentage points from last April.

Even better, the number who think global warming is not happening as seen an increase of 12 percentage points to 33%.

556-1

But I guess the “debate is over” right, Al?

0
Oct
22

Dell to Cost Taxpayers an Additional $53 million

In what has to be seen as a somewhat bizarre and highly questionable decision, the NC DOT has decided to continue with its plans to expand a Winston-Salem road that leads to the soon to be empty Dell manufacturing plant.  From today’s W-S Journal:

Even though Dell said earlier this month that it will close the plant early next year, DOT officials say they are moving ahead with the Union Cross Road plans. They say that present and future traffic needs justify the expense.

The cost to widen the road?  $53 million.

Oh and the traffic counts the DOT is basing the need for widening on, they were done at the height of Dell’s employment and use of the road in 2007.

So is this the “critical needs” that the General Assembly used to justify raising the gas tax by 2 cents per gallon on July 1?  I sure hope not.

0
Oct
21

No Boeing for NC

Despite the wooing of Gov. Bev Perdue and the undoubted promise of hundreds of millions in incentives, Boeing has eliminated North Carolina from consideration on where to build its new manufacturing facility for its 787 aircraft.

South Carolina has made the final two, however.

Apparently, not even a nearly-vacant taxpayer funded airstrip was enough to overcome this.  Hmm… then what could Boeing’s reasoning be?

Let’s do a little comparison:

Corporate tax rate:
NC – 6.9%
SC – 5.0%

Highest personal income tax rate:
NC – 7.75%
SC – 7.0%

Combined average state and local sales tax rate:
NC – 8.07%
SC – 7.04%

0
Oct
19

Bad Bill of the Year 1st Round Continues

Voting opens today for the last grouping of bills in the first round of the Bad Bill of the Year tournament.  Some great matchups this week!

Cast your vote now.

1
Oct
12

Incentives = Craps?

Gambling is always more fun when you’re using other people’s money isn’t it? Well, for Sen. David Hoyle (D-Gaston) playing a game of craps with your tax dollars is perfectly acceptable.

After the failure of Dell has rightly focused attention on the use of incentives to recruit business, Hoyle equates the incentive game to gambling:

“They could have succeeded. It’s a gamble,” said Sen. David Hoyle, D-Gaston, the primary sponsor of the state incentives package targeting Dell that was approved hastily in a one-day legislative session in November 2004. “You take a chance, and you roll the dice.”

Gamble? Roll the dice?  He does realize he’s using our tax dollars as his bankroll, right?

The next time Hoyle and his all-knowing buddies in the General Assembly get an itch for gambling, I suggest they head up to Cherokee to get their rocks off.  And leave the state’s checkbook at home.

0
Oct
12

Gender Inequity in Health Insurance

Apparently my post from last week on Sen. Kay Hagan complaining about the cost difference of health insurance for men and women sparked the News and Observer to explore the issue in today’s paper.

Unfortunately, the headline writer doesn’t understand economics.  The headline chosen by the N&O reads “NC lets insurers charge women more for coverage.”  Wow, imagine that — government staying out of something and letting the free market set the rates — go figure.  The correct headline should have read “NC lets free market set rates for men, women.”

Instead, it introduces this negative concept that women are for some reason being price gouged by health insurance companies for coverage.

First off, let’s just ask why do we think there is a gender inequity?  Is it because insurance companies have all agreed to price gouge women?  Are they all just run by chauvinist male CEOs who hate women and want them uninsured?  Or is there an actual cost basis for women being charged more?  You know, crazy concepts like they use insurance more often than men and are actually more expensive to cover than a man.  Nah, that can’t be the real reason, that would kill the inflammatory rhetoric like the headline of the N&O.

But let’s explore this concept a little more and think about the ramifications of what would happen if Hagan’s proposal to equalize rates is made law.

Let’s just say for example that a 25 year old man would pay $150/month for his insurance and a 25 yr old woman would pay $250 for hers.  What do you think the insurance companies would do under Hagan’s plan?  Do you think they would cut the price of the woman’s insurance down to $150/month?  No — they would raise the rates on the man’s to $250/month — in essence, charging above market rates for insurance and making it more costly for men to buy insurance.

Or let’s say that rates for both equalized to somewhere around $210/month.  Either way, men would be paying more for their health insurance just because of this mandate.  The cost of a woman’s health insurance would then be partially subsidized by all men — so much for the era of the independent woman.

But what consequence does that have?  Well,  men under 30 (also known as “young indestructibles”) are already the least likely to purchase health insurance.  Artificially inflating their rates under some false idea of “gender equity” will only further push them out of the market — a market that needs these young men in the pool since they rarely use the insurance coverage they have — making it more affordable for insurance companies to offer coverage for older, less healthy individuals.

So with prices higher for young men to buy insurance, less do so, making the pool for insurance smaller, causing all premiums to go up.  In essence, Hagan’s plan will actually end up raising rates for everyone and cause more people to be uninsured.  But again, why let that stop a mythical ideal of “fairness”?

But is this really any surprise?  This is what mandates do — they drive up rates for everyone.  Why should we expect anything different this time?  If anything, I’m starting to believe more and more that there is an organized covert effort to add as many mandates as possible to drive up the costs so high that the system implodes and forces a public option.

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